455 days left
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?
YES Price
29ยข
29% implied
NO Price
71ยข
71% implied
Volume
$229.6K
4,059 trades
Smart Whales
114
of 438 traders ยท 2 on both sides
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
10 MARKETS ยท $1.17M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
53 YESvs63 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 76% YES by dollars ยท 25 YES vs 12 NO taking a side ยท 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 61%ยท net of hedges
+12 new YES$479+6 new NO$674
$288 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers โ left out of momentum
5 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$49 of $2.1K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $1.6KยทNO $487YES Team
Total Invested
$26.8K
Avg Win Rate
65.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$14.2K(-53.1%)
Whales
53
D
DancewithRisk๐ฅhedged
Entry 78ยขยท27,633.4 sharesยทalso $6.0K on NO
Invested
$21.6K
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-13719
$-13719INV $21.6K ยท WR 66.5%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed๐ฅhedged
Entry 72ยขยท2,470.2 sharesยทalso $453 on NO
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-1064
$-1064INV $1.8K ยท WR 55.3%
D
DerDonโProven๐ฅ
Entry 84ยขยท665.8 shares
Invested
$562
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-372
$-372INV $562 ยท WR 56.6%
D
DragontreeโProven
Entry 17ยขยท2,131.8 shares
Invested
$357
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$251
+$251INV $357 ยท WR 67.5%
S
Sylvester.the.Cat
Entry 24ยขยท1,000 shares
Invested
$243
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $243 ยท WR 70.6%
D
DEGENKHANโProven
Entry 22ยขยท1,036.7 shares
Invested
$223
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $223 ยท WR 66.7%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 22ยขยท755 shares
Invested
$169
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $169 ยท WR 59.2%
R
Rumpelstiltskin
Entry 22ยขยท403.4 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $88 ยท WR 57.1%
W
watchmewhip
Entry 17ยขยท496.9 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $83 ยท WR 75.4%
S
Saldivva
Entry 10ยขยท766.8 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$145
+$145INV $74 ยท WR 63.0%
Showing top 10 of 53
NO Team
Total Invested
$23.9K
Avg Win Rate
79.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$10.8K(+45.2%)
Whales
63
D
DancewithRisk๐ฅhedged
Entry 39ยขยท15,198.2 sharesยทalso $21.6K on YES
Invested
$6.0K
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$4906
+$4906INV $6.0K ยท WR 66.5%
B
Bigggggggg๐ฅ
Entry 45ยขยท8,321.2 shares
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$2204
+$2204INV $3.7K ยท WR 85.7%
G
glm404.fund๐ฅ
Entry 52ยขยท6,697.6 shares
Invested
$3.5K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1334
+$1334INV $3.5K ยท WR 85.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 59ยขยท2,245 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$278
+$278INV $1.3K ยท WR 89.3%
L
Lucerys
Entry 59ยขยท1,958.6 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$235
+$235INV $1.2K ยท WR 87.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 81ยขยท1,273.8 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-127
$-127INV $1.0K ยท WR 79.3%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 81ยขยท892 shares
Invested
$726
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $726 ยท WR 88.7%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 54ยขยท1,327.9 shares
Invested
$721
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$228
+$228INV $721 ยท WR 83.8%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 51ยขยท1,214.6 shares
Invested
$622
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$246
+$246INV $622 ยท WR 89.0%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 78ยขยท667.1 shares
Invested
$520
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $520 ยท WR 88.1%
Showing top 10 of 63
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