453 days left
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$107.1K
1,997 trades
Smart Whales
67
of 292 traders · 1 on both sides
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
10 MARKETS · $1.26M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
20 YESvs48 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 24% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+24 new YES$337+21 new NO$3.5K
$337 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$12 of $1.2K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $280·NO $875YES Team
Total Invested
$527
Avg Win Rate
71.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$176(-33.4%)
Whales
20
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 4¢·2,229.7 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $79 · WR 72.2%
D
DerDon◆Proven🥈
Entry 1¢·3,451.3 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $48 · WR 56.6%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 8¢·497.5 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $38 · WR 85.8%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 6¢·500 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $28 · WR 84.9%
T
Tee1000
Entry 9¢·276.4 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $24 · WR 81.8%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 10¢·214 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $21 · WR 59.2%
N
Nostdam
Entry 3¢·683.4 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $18 · WR 57.6%
D
DEGENKHAN◆Proven
Entry 4¢·380 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $15 · WR 66.7%
G
GingerMcKennahedged
Entry 9¢·62.7 shares·also $22 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $6 · WR 85.1%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 9¢·50.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 86.0%
Showing top 10 of 20
NO Team
Total Invested
$13.2K
Avg Win Rate
83.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$8.0K(+60.7%)
Whales
48
G
glm404.fund🥇
Entry 50¢·7,800.3 shares
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$3784
+$3784INV $3.9K · WR 85.8%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 50¢·2,231.6 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$1081
+$1081INV $1.1K · WR 87.1%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 57¢·1,666 shares
Invested
$943
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$705
+$705INV $943 · WR 79.3%
D
DancewithRisk
Entry 97¢·826 shares
Invested
$800
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $800 · WR 66.5%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·1,598 shares
Invested
$799
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$781
+$781INV $799 · WR 85.9%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 55¢·1,436.7 shares
Invested
$788
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$633
+$633INV $788 · WR 83.8%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 93¢·578.1 shares
Invested
$537
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $537 · WR 89.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 88¢·562.2 shares
Invested
$495
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $495 · WR 88.2%
M
melchior1248
Entry 98¢·506.5 shares
Invested
$494
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $494 · WR 69.0%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 51¢·962.3 shares
Invested
$489
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$463
+$463INV $489 · WR 88.1%
Showing top 10 of 48
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