Polymarket wallet 0xd4e8…baac

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xd4e8…baac has made 1,785 trades on Polymarket across 412 markets, $4,771 in volume. Most of it is in politics (29%) and geopolitics (28%). On 365 resolved markets the win rate is 57.3%, lifetime P&L -$99. It holds 45 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: Sep 25, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $10 · 83¢ → 91¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $5 · 74¢ → 83¢
• Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes · $4 · 70¢ → 96¢
• Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes · $3 · 3¢ → 8¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes · $3 · 27¢ → 24¢
• Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes · $3 · 40¢ → 52¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No · $2 · 62¢ → 74¢
• Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No · $2 · 92¢ → 100¢
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes · $2 · 27¢ → 28¢
• Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?No · $2 · 99¢ → 100¢

Latest closed positions

• Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes · +$2 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes · +$1 · Oct 6, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes · -$1 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes · +$0 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?No · -$1 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.