bibus123 · Polymarket wallet 0xc8d5…4c74

Wallet snapshot

bibus123 has made 452 trades on Polymarket across 53 markets, $911 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (62%) and politics (19%). On 26 resolved markets the win rate is 73.1%, lifetime P&L -$1. It holds 22 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No · $15 · 97¢ → 97¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes · $11 · 58¢ → 34¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $8 · 96¢ → 95¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Yes · $5 · 71¢ → 68¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $5 · 85¢ → 85¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No · $4 · 97¢ → 97¢
• Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?No · $4 · 86¢ → 92¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $3 · 93¢ → 91¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No · $3 · 96¢ → 97¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $2 · 90¢ → 91¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No · -$0 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will Russia target Kyiv on October 7, 2026?Yes · $0 · Oct 7, 2026
• Russia coup attempt in 2026?No · -$0 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 4, 2026?Yes · $0 · Oct 6, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?

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