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GeopoliticsResolved

Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$75.4K
357 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 128 traders

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

20 MARKETS · $80.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

15 YESvs7 NO
68%32%
68% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $7.4K is directional: YES $7.3K·NO $31
YES Team
Total Invested
$10.4K
Avg Win Rate
82.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.2K(+30.6%)
Whales
15
S
SubashChandraBose🥇
Entry 98¢·6,020 shares
+$88INV $5.9K · WR 81.3%
B
Bromley86Proven🥈
Entry 51¢·5,191.1 shares
+$2534INV $2.7K · WR 90.8%
F
Feracios🥉
Entry 93¢·693.7 shares
+$47INV $646 · WR 86.5%
R
RobbbProven
Entry 50¢·724.3 shares
+$362INV $362 · WR 81.2%
G
Gleeful-Intervention
Entry 96¢·304.1 shares
+$13INV $291 · WR 56.8%
V
VechnoMolodoyy
Entry 94¢·238.6 shares
+$15INV $224 · WR 63.0%
B
Benuptoshenanigns
Entry 94¢·130.5 shares
+$7INV $123 · WR 88.2%
P
PashaAsOracul
Entry 95¢·105 shares
+$5INV $100 · WR 64.7%
D
Dafri220286hedged
Entry 10¢·108.8 shares·also $117 on NO
+$98INV $11 · WR 90.0%
M
melonjeep
Entry 93¢·10.6 shares
+$1INV $10 · WR 84.2%
Showing top 10 of 15

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 68% YES: Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026