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Geopolitics2 days left

Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
91ยข
91% implied
NO Price
9ยข
9% implied
Volume
$58.7K
78 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 48 traders

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

29 MARKETS ยท $123.3K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs5 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 89% YES by dollars ยท 5 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 95%ยท net of hedges
+20 new YES$1.0K+21 new NO$74
$45 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
5 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ€” all $238 is directional: YES $213ยทNO $25
YES Team
Total Invested
$213
Avg Win Rate
86.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$7(+3.2%)
Whales
5
D
Dafri220286๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 90ยขยท111.1 shares
+$4INV $100 ยท WR 91.7%
R
RobbbProven๐Ÿฅˆ
Entry 91ยขยท109.6 shares
+$3INV $100 ยท WR 81.2%
B
bruziuu๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 90ยขยท11 shares
+$0INV $10 ยท WR 85.7%
C
codexxxx
Entry 97ยขยท2.1 shares
$-0INV $2 ยท WR 81.2%
B
big-bird1
Entry 94ยขยท1.4 shares
$-0INV $1 ยท WR 68.7%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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