oxb2a309A61ca9eD5DB26e9FDDa3a19fF4aE3a79e0 · Polymarket wallet 0xb2a3…79e0

Wallet snapshot

oxb2a309A61ca9eD5DB26e9FDDa3a19fF4aE3a79e0 has made 2,475 trades on Polymarket across 237 markets, $18K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (41%) and tech (28%). On 186 resolved markets the win rate is 62.4%, lifetime P&L +$12. It holds 46 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $232 · 76¢ → 86¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $28 · 84¢ → 83¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No · $14 · 88¢ → 88¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $14 · 82¢ → 77¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes · $13 · 62¢ → 71¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $11 · 78¢ → 79¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?No · $11 · 86¢ → 90¢
• Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No · $10 · 70¢ → 90¢
• Iran leadership change by November 30?No · $10 · 92¢ → 95¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No · $8 · 95¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes · -$3 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?No · -$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?No · -$2 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?No · +$1 · Oct 7, 2026
• 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?Yes · +$3 · Oct 7, 2026
• 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 6, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.