Ondra · Polymarket wallet 0x849c…4009

Wallet snapshot

Ondra has made 445,324 trades on Polymarket across 3,263 markets, $8.6M in volume. Most of it is in politics (52%). On 3,153 resolved markets the win rate is 52.7%, lifetime P&L +$23K. It holds 41 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?". Last trade: Nov 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes · $834 · 10¢ → 9¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes · $378 · 9¢ → 9¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes · $332 · 7¢ → 3¢
• Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes · $285 · 20¢ → 19¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes · $276 · 2¢ → 2¢
• Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes · $265 · 27¢ → 27¢
• AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?Yes · $244 · 21¢ → 18¢
• AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?Yes · $227 · 20¢ → 17¢
• Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes · $211 · 2¢ → 2¢
• Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $209 · 2¢ → 1¢

Latest closed positions

• Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes · -$100 · Nov 15, 2026
• Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes · +$296 · Nov 14, 2026
• Nicholas Hoult announced as next James Bond?Yes · +$2 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes · +$1,135 · Nov 11, 2026
• Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes · +$283 · Nov 11, 2026
• Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes · +$480 · Nov 11, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.