411 days left
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$47.3K
1,100 trades
Smart Whales
38
of 248 traders
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
7 MARKETS · $787.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs27 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 2¢
YES 29%NO 71%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 2¢
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $94 is directional: YES $44·NO $50YES Team
Total Invested
$44
Avg Win Rate
76.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$25(-56.4%)
Whales
11
M
mustbethewater🥇
Entry 12¢·146.2 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $17 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 14¢·99.4 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $14 · WR 71.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin🥉
Entry 1¢·470 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $6 · WR 66.8%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 12¢·25.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 84.3%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 14¢·16.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 87.3%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 3¢·25.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 84.9%
D
DEGENKHAN◆Proven
Entry 0¢·55.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 66.9%
B
BAO95889
Entry 3¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 60.2%
U
username-is-not-taken
Entry 0¢·176 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $0 · WR 84.5%
M
mymacbook◆Proven
Entry 0¢·5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 80.0%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.5K
Avg Win Rate
86.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+23.9%)
Whales
27
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 100¢·1,500.6 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $1.5K · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 100¢·1,094.6 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $1.1K · WR 87.7%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 99¢·703 shares
Invested
$699
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $699 · WR 88.5%
P
plainfolder
Entry 99¢·479 shares
Invested
$474
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $474 · WR 86.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 99¢·433 shares
Invested
$428
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $428 · WR 87.9%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 20¢·1,812.5 shares
Invested
$363
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$1418
+$1418INV $363 · WR 85.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 100¢·314 shares
Invested
$313
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $313 · WR 87.5%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 78¢·330 shares
Invested
$259
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $259 · WR 89.0%
M
merod
Entry 100¢·244 shares
Invested
$244
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $244 · WR 83.4%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 100¢·205 shares
Invested
$205
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $205 · WR 86.6%
Showing top 10 of 27
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