448 days left
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$42.3K
1,251 trades
Smart Whales
40
of 236 traders
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
7 MARKETS · $453.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs30 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 87% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
+1 new YES$1+2 new NO$41
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $44 is directional: YES $38·NO $6YES Team
Total Invested
$38
Avg Win Rate
76.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$19(-48.9%)
Whales
10
M
mustbethewater🥇
Entry 12¢·146.2 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $17 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 14¢·99.4 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $14 · WR 72.2%
G
GingerMcKenna🥉
Entry 12¢·25.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 84.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 1¢·280 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $2 · WR 66.9%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 3¢·25.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 85.7%
D
DEGENKHAN◆Proven
Entry 0¢·55.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 66.6%
B
BAO95889
Entry 3¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 57.0%
U
username-is-not-taken
Entry 0¢·176 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $0 · WR 84.4%
M
mymacbook◆Proven
Entry 0¢·5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 80.1%
T
Tee1000
Entry 0¢·51 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 81.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.7K
Avg Win Rate
85.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$7.4K(+129.2%)
Whales
30
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 51¢·2,925.6 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1360
+$1360INV $1.5K · WR 85.9%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 61¢·1,176.2 shares
Invested
$720
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$430
+$430INV $720 · WR 88.7%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 56¢·853 shares
Invested
$477
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$356
+$356INV $477 · WR 86.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 55¢·773.2 shares
Invested
$428
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$328
+$328INV $428 · WR 88.2%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 11¢·3,258.9 shares
Invested
$365
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$2821
+$2821INV $365 · WR 85.8%
N
northdrawer
Entry 53¢·628 shares
Invested
$333
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$281
+$281INV $333 · WR 87.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 53¢·530 shares
Invested
$279
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$239
+$239INV $279 · WR 89.3%
M
merod
Entry 50¢·488 shares
Invested
$244
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$233
+$233INV $244 · WR 84.0%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 50¢·410 shares
Invested
$205
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$196
+$196INV $205 · WR 86.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 99¢·187.1 shares
Invested
$185
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $185 · WR 79.5%
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