HotSulphurMAGA · Polymarket wallet 0x566d…d58f

+$19,843 lifetime P&L · 66.5% win rate · 257 resolved markets · 0x566d32ba7a326f1a1bb0b7d3555215f14421d58f

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Wallet snapshot

HotSulphurMAGA has made 916 trades on Polymarket across 283 markets, $89K in volume. Most of it is in politics (53%) and geopolitics (30%). On 257 resolved markets the win rate is 66.5%, lifetime P&L +$20K. It holds 12 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: Sep 25, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $5,217 · 90¢ → 91¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $1,107 · 82¢ → 91¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes · $436 · 66¢ → 96¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No · $320 · 91¢ → 97¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes · $265 · 34¢ → 28¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes · $194 · 32¢ → 42¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $138 · 48¢ → 87¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $59 · 25¢ → 15¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes · $49 · 29¢ → 28¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $32 · 25¢ → 15¢

Latest closed positions

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No · +$10 · Sep 25, 2026
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No · +$7 · Jun 30, 2026
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$12 · Jun 30, 2026
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No · +$9 · Jun 30, 2026
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No · +$5 · Jun 30, 2026
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes · +$23 · Jun 30, 2026
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