Saguache · Polymarket wallet 0x4b7a…5ce6

Wallet snapshot

Saguache has made 223 trades on Polymarket across 73 markets, $9,415 in volume. Most of it is in politics (56%) and geopolitics (30%). On 50 resolved markets the win rate is 60%. It holds 9 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?". Last trade: Sep 23, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No · $191 · 68¢ → 97¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No · $119 · 75¢ → 90¢
• Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No · $105 · 92¢ → 97¢
• Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?No · $14 · 88¢ → 78¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo · $12 · 65¢ → 39¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $11 · 82¢ → 92¢
• Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes · $5 · 88¢ → 94¢
• Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $3 · 5¢ → 16¢
• Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes · $1 · 27¢ → 22¢

Latest closed positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes · -$31 · Sep 11, 2026
• Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · -$29 · Sep 11, 2026
• Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes · -$0 · Aug 26, 2026
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No · +$0 · Jul 20, 2026
• Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes · -$318 · Jul 10, 2026
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · +$0 · Jul 9, 2026

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