degennaf · Polymarket wallet 0x3660…0ca0

Wallet snapshot

degennaf has made 1,799 trades on Polymarket across 608 markets, $5,411 in volume. Most of it is in sports (82%) and geopolitics (7%). On 558 resolved markets the win rate is 56.6%, lifetime P&L -$43. It holds 16 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · $7 · 89¢ → 97¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $6 · 84¢ → 84¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No · $6 · 81¢ → 86¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $5 · 93¢ → 95¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?No · $5 · 92¢ → 96¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $5 · 77¢ → 85¢
• Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No · $3 · 79¢ → 84¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No · $2 · 94¢ → 97¢
• Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes · $2 · 88¢ → 96¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No · $2 · 95¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No · -$2 · Sep 20, 2026
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes · +$3 · Sep 18, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · -$1 · Sep 16, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · +$0 · Sep 15, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes · +$0 · Sep 13, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 6, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.