Politics2 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 5%-15%?
YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$4.1K
211 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 70 traders
UT-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $30.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs8 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%
+1 new YES$18+1 new NO$65
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $100 is directional: YES $0·NO $100YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$256
Avg Win Rate
90.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$25(+10.0%)
Whales
8
W
wuwuwuwuwu11🥇
Entry 95¢·100 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $95 · WR 100.0%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 57¢·114.1 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $65 · WR 88.0%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 68¢·76 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $52 · WR 86.3%
L
Loose-Alloy
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
77.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $18 · WR 77.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·20.2 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 88.7%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 86.1%
J
JoeDirtBuffett
Entry 86¢·5.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 56.4%
P
PollyForge
Entry 7¢·10.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $1 · WR 84.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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