Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-24 House election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$6.7K
177 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 81 traders
TX-24 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $29.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs13 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 52% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%
+6 new YES$2+3 new NO$32
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $423 is directional: YES $220·NO $204YES Team
Total Invested
$220
Avg Win Rate
65.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$55(+25.2%)
Whales
6
1
1walrus🥇
Entry 77¢·174 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
64.2%
Position P&L
$-66
$-66INV $134 · WR 64.2%
V
vinii◆Proven🥈
Entry 16¢·432.1 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $69 · WR 66.8%
G
garbagecollect4🥉
Entry 85¢·11 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $9 · WR 68.4%
R
RayGuy
Entry 8¢·48 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $4 · WR 57.9%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 8¢·32.9 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $3 · WR 78.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 8¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1 · WR 79.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$434
Avg Win Rate
69.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$52(+11.9%)
Whales
13
C
cloverpmq2🥇
Entry 70¢·227.7 shares
Invested
$159
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $159 · WR 55.9%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 72¢·96.9 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $70 · WR 71.9%
J
johnashbough🥉
Entry 90¢·49.8 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $45 · WR 55.3%
G
god83743894
Entry 94¢·40 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $38 · WR 86.0%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 92¢·30 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $28 · WR 88.6%
L
Lucerys
Entry 60¢·46 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $28 · WR 87.6%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 71¢·30 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $21 · WR 86.5%
D
donthackme
Entry 88¢·15 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $13 · WR 87.4%
L
luciebot
Entry 92¢·11.3 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 80.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 46¢·20 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $9 · WR 86.1%
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