Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-24 House election by 12%-15%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$3.7K
101 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 53 traders
TX-24 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $29.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs7 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $11 is directional: YES $11·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$11
Avg Win Rate
74.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$11(-99.3%)
Whales
4
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 8¢·59.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 71.9%
R
RayGuy🥈
Entry 8¢·48 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 77.1%
L
lpgb🥉
Entry 8¢·21 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 70.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 8¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 79.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$130
Avg Win Rate
87.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$49(+37.5%)
Whales
7
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 85¢·46 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $39 · WR 87.6%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $30 · WR 88.5%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 86¢·30 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $26 · WR 86.1%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 93¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 86.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 77¢·15 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $12 · WR 87.5%
L
luciebot
Entry 93¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 80.2%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 0¢·32.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $0 · WR 78.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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