Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-24 House election by 6%-9%?
YES Price
57¢
57% implied
NO Price
43¢
43% implied
Volume
$4.0K
108 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 53 traders
TX-24 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $29.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 58% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $11 is directional: YES $7·NO $5YES Team
Total Invested
$7
Avg Win Rate
77.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$46(+692.8%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$184
Avg Win Rate
80.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$72(-39.1%)
Whales
10
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 58¢·80 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $46 · WR 71.9%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 85¢·46 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $39 · WR 87.6%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 82¢·30 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $25 · WR 88.6%
L
lpgb
Entry 82¢·21 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $17 · WR 70.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 83¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $17 · WR 86.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 91¢·15 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $14 · WR 87.5%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 91¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $9 · WR 79.6%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 28¢·30 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $8 · WR 86.4%
L
luciebot
Entry 100¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 80.2%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 79¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 68.4%
Smart Whale Trades
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