Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-24 House election by 9%-12%?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$8.1K
196 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 87 traders · 1 on both sides
TX-24 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $29.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs13 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $38 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $37·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$61
Avg Win Rate
70.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$26(-42.4%)
Whales
7
1
1walrus🥇
Entry 18¢·173 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $30 · WR 64.4%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11🥈hedged
Entry 16¢·148.3 shares·also $107 on NO
Invested
$23
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $23 · WR 75.9%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥉
Entry 8¢·32.9 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 78.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 8¢·34.8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 71.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 8¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 79.6%
L
Lucerys
Entry 8¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 87.6%
R
RayGuyhedged
Entry 1¢·20 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 77.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$244
Avg Win Rate
81.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$66(+26.9%)
Whales
13
W
wuwuwuwuwu11🥇hedged
Entry 72¢·148.3 shares·also $23 on YES
Invested
$107
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $107 · WR 75.9%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 80¢·40 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $32 · WR 88.5%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 85¢·30 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $26 · WR 89.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 99¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $20 · WR 87.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 90¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $18 · WR 86.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 81¢·15 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $12 · WR 87.5%
K
kjfghxd
Entry 85¢·14 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $12 · WR 85.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 97¢·8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 79.2%
M
melchior1248
Entry 98¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 69.9%
L
luciebot
Entry 81¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 80.2%
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