Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-24 House election by 15%-18%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$938
53 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 41 traders
TX-24 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $29.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs5 NO
58%42%
58% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $16 is directional: YES $16·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$16
Avg Win Rate
77.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$16(-99.3%)
Whales
7
R
RayGuy🥇
Entry 8¢·48 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 77.1%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 8¢·48 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 71.9%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥉
Entry 8¢·32.9 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 78.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 8¢·30 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 87.5%
L
lpgb
Entry 8¢·21 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 70.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 8¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 86.1%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 8¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 79.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$103
Avg Win Rate
86.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$11(+11.0%)
Whales
5
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 94¢·46 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $43 · WR 87.6%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 90¢·40 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $36 · WR 86.1%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 88¢·15 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $13 · WR 87.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 99¢·8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 79.2%
L
luciebot
Entry 42¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $2 · WR 80.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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