Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-24 House election by 21% or more?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$2.2K
105 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 60 traders
TX-24 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $29.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs10 NO
38%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 23% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $121 is directional: YES $28·NO $93YES Team
Total Invested
$28
Avg Win Rate
67.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$28(-98.5%)
Whales
6
O
oneoftheppl◆Proven🥇
Entry 11¢·154.1 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $17 · WR 63.4%
R
RayGuy🥈
Entry 8¢·48 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 77.1%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 8¢·39.9 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 71.9%
M
mariacryptoss
Entry 9¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 62.7%
L
lpgb
Entry 8¢·21 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 70.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 8¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 79.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$245
Avg Win Rate
78.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$54(+22.2%)
Whales
10
1
1walrus🥇
Entry 97¢·76.8 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $74 · WR 64.4%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 91¢·46 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $42 · WR 87.6%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 84¢·40 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $34 · WR 87.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 90¢·30 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $27 · WR 87.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 96¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 86.1%
S
spaceloaf
Entry 98¢·18.8 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $18 · WR 64.6%
T
Thorny-Parachute-Philanthropy
Entry 89¢·15.7 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $14 · WR 86.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 85¢·15 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $13 · WR 87.5%
L
luciebot
Entry 85¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 80.2%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 0¢·32.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $0 · WR 78.0%
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