Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-24 House election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
44¢
44% implied
NO Price
56¢
56% implied
Volume
$6.6K
165 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 73 traders
TX-24 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $29.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs9 NO
47%53%
53% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 52% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $424 is directional: YES $221·NO $204YES Team
Total Invested
$221
Avg Win Rate
65.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$20(+9.2%)
Whales
8
1
1walrus🥇
Entry 77¢·174 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-75
$-75INV $134 · WR 64.4%
V
vinii◆Proven🥈
Entry 16¢·432.1 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $69 · WR 66.8%
G
garbagecollect4🥉
Entry 85¢·11 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $9 · WR 68.4%
R
RayGuy
Entry 8¢·48 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $4 · WR 77.1%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 8¢·32.9 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $3 · WR 78.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 8¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1 · WR 79.6%
L
Lucerys
Entry 8¢·8.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 87.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 8¢·2.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 71.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$308
Avg Win Rate
65.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$40(-13.1%)
Whales
9
C
cloverpmq2🥇
Entry 70¢·227.7 shares
Invested
$159
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $159 · WR 55.9%
J
johnashbough🥈
Entry 90¢·49.8 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $45 · WR 55.2%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 94¢·40 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $38 · WR 86.0%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 71¢·30 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $21 · WR 86.4%
B
Brisk-Rod-Patentee
Entry 85¢·15.7 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $13 · WR 82.4%
D
donthackme
Entry 88¢·15 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $13 · WR 87.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 46¢·20 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $9 · WR 86.1%
L
lpgb
Entry 23¢·21 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $5 · WR 70.2%
L
luciebot
Entry 89¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 80.2%
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