Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 10%-15%?
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$1.1K
91 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 42 traders
MS-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
9 MARKETS · $16.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs6 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$13+11 new NO$282
$2 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$187
Avg Win Rate
87.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$84(+45.2%)
Whales
6
S
smallreceipt🥇
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $50 · WR 88.9%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 55¢·90 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $50 · WR 85.9%
H
haveagoodday🥉
Entry 93¢·42.8 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $40 · WR 86.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·40.4 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $20 · WR 88.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $20 · WR 88.1%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·14 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $7 · WR 85.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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