Politics19 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 15%-20%?
YES Price
11¢
11% implied
NO Price
89¢
89% implied
Volume
$2.7K
136 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 48 traders
MS-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
9 MARKETS · $14.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs6 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$6
Avg Win Rate
63.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-60.0%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$212
Avg Win Rate
84.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$119(+56.3%)
Whales
6
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 51¢·133.8 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $69 · WR 79.6%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 55¢·107.2 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $58 · WR 88.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 54¢·80 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $43 · WR 85.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 85¢·40 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $34 · WR 89.0%
J
just-bettorhedged
Entry 84¢·8.8 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$7
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 60.0%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 17¢·2.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $0 · WR 86.6%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1469ms