Politics19 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 30%-35%?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$2.1K
134 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 51 traders
MS-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
9 MARKETS · $14.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs9 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2 is directional: YES $0·NO $2YES Team
Total Invested
$26
Avg Win Rate
59.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-10.5%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$258
Avg Win Rate
84.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$38(+14.6%)
Whales
9
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 78¢·99.7 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $77 · WR 79.6%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 88¢·60 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $53 · WR 89.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $40 · WR 85.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 78¢·40 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $31 · WR 87.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 84¢·34 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $29 · WR 89.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 77¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $15 · WR 79.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 88.2%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 75¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 68.9%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 50¢·2.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 86.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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