Politics19 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
23¢
23% implied
NO Price
77¢
77% implied
Volume
$2.5K
177 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 58 traders
MS-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
9 MARKETS · $14.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs8 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $16 is directional: YES $0·NO $16YES Team
Total Invested
$17
Avg Win Rate
62.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$11(-66.5%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$149
Avg Win Rate
81.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$57(+37.9%)
Whales
8
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 54¢·116.5 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $63 · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 59¢·40 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $24 · WR 85.9%
H
haveagoodday🥉
Entry 50¢·41.4 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $21 · WR 86.6%
A
aliiz
Entry 78¢·21 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $16 · WR 65.3%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 89.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 74¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 87.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·14 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $7 · WR 88.2%
G
garbagecollect4hedged
Entry 29¢·5 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 68.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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