Politics19 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 25%-30%?
YES Price
28¢
28% implied
NO Price
72¢
72% implied
Volume
$3.7K
186 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 56 traders
MS-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
9 MARKETS · $14.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs8 NO
11%89%
89% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 10% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $56 is directional: YES $6·NO $51YES Team
Total Invested
$6
Avg Win Rate
60.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-2.6%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$226
Avg Win Rate
87.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$23(+10.1%)
Whales
8
G
graynotebook19🥇
Entry 68¢·94 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $64 · WR 89.3%
A
0xa24d776f...🥈
Entry 79¢·64 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $51 · WR 90.9%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 56¢·80 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $45 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 84¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $22 · WR 79.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 74¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 87.7%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 47¢·22.8 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $11 · WR 86.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 85.8%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 86.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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