Politics19 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 10%-15%?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$812
74 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 31 traders
MS-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
9 MARKETS · $14.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs6 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
66.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-21.4%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$137
Avg Win Rate
87.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$126(+92.2%)
Whales
6
S
smallreceipt🥇
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $50 · WR 89.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $40 · WR 85.9%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 50¢·40.4 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $20 · WR 88.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $20 · WR 88.2%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·14 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $7 · WR 85.8%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 5¢·2.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $0 · WR 86.6%
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