Politics19 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 40% or more?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$547
57 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 28 traders
MS-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
9 MARKETS · $14.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs6 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$3
Avg Win Rate
66.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-57.9%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$133
Avg Win Rate
85.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$125(+94.5%)
Whales
6
G
godblessme2026🥇
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $40 · WR 88.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $40 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 50¢·51.2 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $26 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·34 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $17 · WR 86.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 89.3%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 0¢·2.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $0 · WR 86.6%
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