Politics19 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 35%-40%?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$552
44 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 26 traders
MS-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
9 MARKETS · $14.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs5 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $0 is directional: YES $0·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
86.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$0(+14.3%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$171
Avg Win Rate
84.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$153(+89.1%)
Whales
5
P
plainfolder🥇
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $40 · WR 86.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $40 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 50¢·68.6 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $34 · WR 79.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $30 · WR 85.8%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·54 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $27 · WR 87.7%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 966ms