Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 9%-12%?
YES Price
94¢
94% implied
NO Price
6¢
6% implied
Volume
$3.3K
103 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 56 traders
Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory
11 MARKETS · $33.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs4 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 94¢
YES 50%NO 50%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 94¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $280 is directional: YES $280·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$280
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$419(+149.6%)
Whales
4
T
TrangNgo🥇
Entry 94¢·144.7 shares
Invested
$136
Win Rate
92.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $136 · WR 92.1%
K
kSj39SJLtjl🥈
Entry 22¢·532.1 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$384
+$384INV $116 · WR 55.3%
S
simplythenextone🥉
Entry 86¢·30 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $26 · WR 75.6%
R
RayGuy
Entry 7¢·38 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $3 · WR 55.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$57
Avg Win Rate
84.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$52(-89.8%)
Whales
4
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 95¢·23.7 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $22 · WR 79.2%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 90¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $18 · WR 87.4%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 97¢·16.3 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $16 · WR 87.7%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 4¢·30 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 86.6%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 408ms