Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 12%-15%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$7.6K
173 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 85 traders · 1 on both sides
Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory
11 MARKETS · $33.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs4 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 1¢
YES 43%NO 57%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 1¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 29% of the money is not a bet
$2 of $5 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$5
Avg Win Rate
65.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-89.8%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$37
Avg Win Rate
83.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$20(+53.9%)
Whales
4
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 72¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $14 · WR 87.4%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 68¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $14 · WR 79.2%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 49¢·16.3 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $8 · WR 87.7%
R
RayGuyhedged
Entry 96¢·0.8 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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