Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 21% or more?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$2.7K
95 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 55 traders
Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory
11 MARKETS · $33.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs4 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 0.8¢
YES 20%NO 80%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 0.8¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3 is directional: YES $3·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$3
Avg Win Rate
55.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-85.8%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$69
Avg Win Rate
86.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$11(+15.9%)
Whales
4
H
haveagoodday🥇
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 86.6%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 99¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 87.4%
C
Conscious-Gaffer-Tortoise🥉
Entry 95¢·14.7 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $14 · WR 82.3%
L
Lucerys
Entry 35¢·16.3 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $6 · WR 87.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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