Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 0%-3%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$1.0K
56 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 35 traders
Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory
11 MARKETS · $33.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs4 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 0.9¢
YES 20%NO 80%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 0.9¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $48 is directional: YES $3·NO $46YES Team
Total Invested
$3
Avg Win Rate
55.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-87.7%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$109
Avg Win Rate
75.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$3(+2.8%)
Whales
4
C
conherence🥇
Entry 98¢·46.3 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $46 · WR 58.8%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 89.0%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 89¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 87.4%
L
Lucerys
Entry 94¢·16.3 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $15 · WR 87.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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