Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$2.1K
91 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 52 traders
Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory
11 MARKETS · $33.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs6 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 0.5¢
YES 25%NO 75%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 0.5¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 28% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1 is directional: YES $0·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$8
Avg Win Rate
69.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$7(-96.1%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$82
Avg Win Rate
85.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$12(+15.2%)
Whales
6
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 88.5%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 87¢·23.7 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $21 · WR 79.2%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 65¢·23.5 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $15 · WR 87.7%
S
Satisfied-Shoehorn-Blast
Entry 90¢·14.7 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $13 · WR 85.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 90¢·2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 87.4%
R
RayGuy
Entry 85¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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