Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 18%-21%?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$3.6K
115 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 64 traders
Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory
11 MARKETS · $33.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs5 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 4¢
YES 29%NO 71%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 4¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4 is directional: YES $4·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$4
Avg Win Rate
61.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-60.8%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$80
Avg Win Rate
84.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+1.2%)
Whales
5
G
godblessme2026🥇
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $30 · WR 87.9%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 93¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 87.4%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 93¢·16.3 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $15 · WR 87.7%
L
Late-Squirrel-Mecca
Entry 93¢·14.7 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $14 · WR 72.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 90¢·3.7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 79.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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