Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 15%-18%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$7.7K
171 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 81 traders
Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory
11 MARKETS · $33.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs4 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 0.9¢
YES 43%NO 57%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 0.9¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $18 is directional: YES $18·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$18
Avg Win Rate
58.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$17(-91.8%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$80
Avg Win Rate
85.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$12(+15.4%)
Whales
4
G
god83743894🥇
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 86.0%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 93¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 87.4%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 83¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $17 · WR 79.2%
L
Lucerys
Entry 64¢·23.5 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $15 · WR 87.7%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 506ms