Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 3% or more?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$788
43 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 31 traders
Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory
11 MARKETS · $33.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs5 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 2¢
YES 17%NO 83%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 2¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $48 is directional: YES $3·NO $46YES Team
Total Invested
$3
Avg Win Rate
55.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-60.8%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$114
Avg Win Rate
75.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-0.6%)
Whales
5
C
conherence🥇
Entry 99¢·46.3 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $46 · WR 58.8%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 87.5%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 95¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 87.4%
L
Lucerys
Entry 100¢·16.3 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $16 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 99¢·3.7 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 79.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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