Politics1 days left
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
YES Price
99¢
99% implied
NO Price
1¢
1% implied
Volume
$20.4K
621 trades
Smart Whales
62
of 209 traders · 1 on both sides
NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
7 MARKETS · $65.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
0¢0¢$1.9K0/17Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election0¢0¢
$1.9K0/17
Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
0¢+6¢$3.7K1/17Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election+6¢0¢
$3.7K1/17
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
1¢+29¢$15.6K8/19Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election+29¢1¢
$15.6K8/19
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
1¢+26¢$19.2K7/19Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election+26¢1¢
$19.2K7/19
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election←
99¢−79¢$20.4K5/20Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election←−79¢99¢
$20.4K5/20
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Smart Money Consensus
25 YESvs38 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 86% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 81%· net of hedges
+58 new YES$7.5K+57 new NO$2.6K
$2.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 35 buyers — left out of momentum
24 smart whales26 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$22 of $2.9K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2.4K·NO $410YES Team
Total Invested
$4.2K
Avg Win Rate
72.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+35.3%)
Whales
25
L
LetMeBeYourValentine🥇
Entry 98¢·1,500.5 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
74.5%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $1.5K · WR 74.5%
D
Diligent-Scenario🥈
Entry 97¢·1,300.4 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $1.3K · WR 76.9%
V
VFALL🥉
Entry 96¢·294.8 shares
Invested
$283
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $283 · WR 73.6%
1
1walrushedged
Entry 34¢·751.4 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$257
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
+$479
+$479INV $257 · WR 64.5%
S
seal7◆Proven
Entry 34¢·465 shares
Invested
$159
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$297
+$297INV $159 · WR 60.2%
R
Relaccsed
Entry 48¢·316 shares
Invested
$151
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$159
+$159INV $151 · WR 57.8%
E
EffectiveAltruist
Entry 52¢·285 shares
Invested
$148
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$131
+$131INV $148 · WR 57.1%
L
Luc1999
Entry 32¢·383.7 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$253
+$253INV $123 · WR 64.3%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 96¢·84.9 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $81 · WR 60.2%
9
0x90b92431...
Entry 42¢·50.8 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $21 · WR 55.0%
Showing top 10 of 25
NO Team
Total Invested
$909
Avg Win Rate
67.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$693(-76.2%)
Whales
38
J
js1996🥇
Entry 66¢·538.5 shares
Invested
$355
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-344
$-344INV $355 · WR 57.7%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 11¢·430 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-47
$-47INV $49 · WR 86.1%
K
kirajd🥉
Entry 70¢·65.2 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $46 · WR 56.3%
K
kaxel78
Entry 65¢·70 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $46 · WR 81.6%
P
pollo07
Entry 64¢·70 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $45 · WR 82.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 69¢·60 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $41 · WR 87.5%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 18¢·201.8 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $36 · WR 89.0%
C
CircuitBoardAhedged
Entry 39¢·53.2 shares·also $14 on YES
Invested
$21
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $21 · WR 68.0%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 33¢·56.7 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $19 · WR 59.8%
D
donthackme
Entry 21¢·62.6 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $13 · WR 87.5%
Showing top 10 of 38
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