81 days left
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,104,000 and $1,125,000 on December 31?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$2.7K
216 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 83 traders
What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on December 31?
7 MARKETS · $25.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs15 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $15 is directional: YES $15·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$20
Avg Win Rate
63.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$10(-50.9%)
Whales
5
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥇
Entry 13¢·107.2 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $14 · WR 63.4%
C
cloverpmq2🥈hedged
Entry 12¢·36.8 shares·also $27 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 59.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin🥉hedged
Entry 12¢·10 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 66.6%
G
geowatch
Entry 1¢·79.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 67.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 13¢·0.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 88.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$225
Avg Win Rate
80.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$101(+44.6%)
Whales
15
P
pollo07🥇
Entry 100¢·34.2 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $34 · WR 82.0%
A
akroll🥈
Entry 100¢·34.2 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $34 · WR 85.8%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 61¢·48 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $30 · WR 87.7%
C
cloverpmq2hedged
Entry 72¢·36.8 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$27
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $27 · WR 59.9%
K
kaxel78
Entry 100¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $20 · WR 85.6%
K
klli27
Entry 100¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $20 · WR 85.7%
G
Gorgeous-Shirtdress-Vibraphone
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
78.4%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $18 · WR 78.4%
V
Vale54holi
Entry 99¢·15.5 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $15 · WR 85.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·13.3 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $7 · WR 85.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 52¢·10.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 88.9%
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