EconomicsResolved
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$21.74M
42,858 trades
Smart Whales
375
of 6,269 traders
Fed Decision in June?
7 MARKETS · $35.03M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
20¢+34¢$7.56M322/278by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+34¢20¢
$7.56M322/278
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+18¢$4.38M53/245by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+18¢0¢
$4.38M53/245
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
76¢−36¢$775.8K65/99by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting−36¢76¢
$775.8K65/99
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
3¢+12¢$419.5K14/78by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+12¢3¢
$419.5K14/78
by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting
33¢−9¢$113.8K15/47by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting−9¢33¢
$113.8K15/47
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
37 YESvs338 NO
10%90%
90% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $14.0K is directional: YES $14.0K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$15.7K
Avg Win Rate
86.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$14.0K(-89.2%)
Whales
37
S
Siziriv◆Proven🥇
Entry 12¢·38,552.7 shares
Invested
$4.7K
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-4727
$-4727INV $4.7K · WR 89.2%
X
XAE12Archangel🥈
Entry 0¢·4,400,675.6 shares
Invested
$4.6K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-4614
$-4614INV $4.6K · WR 77.3%
P
puipui2486🥉
Entry 20¢·22,500 shares
Invested
$4.5K
Win Rate
93.2%
Position P&L
$-4500
$-4500INV $4.5K · WR 93.2%
L
Liquidifier
Entry 0¢·100,000 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-125
$-125INV $125 · WR 56.3%
A
AlleyCat25
Entry 0¢·20,000 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $20 · WR 84.7%
S
solwizzo-onX
Entry 1¢·1,536.8 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 65.4%
Showing top 6 of 37
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.01M
Avg Win Rate
84.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.45M(+242.5%)
Whales
338
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 91¢·370,328.8 shares
Invested
$336.1K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$34253
+$34253INV $336.1K · WR 85.8%
J
JAHODA🥈
Entry 22¢·460,234.4 shares
Invested
$101.3K
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$358895
+$358895INV $101.3K · WR 87.4%
I
i18z🥉
Entry 100¢·95,660.2 shares
Invested
$95.4K
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$241
+$241INV $95.4K · WR 87.1%
L
licensetofill
Entry 100¢·87,488 shares
Invested
$87.3K
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
+$175
+$175INV $87.3K · WR 86.4%
R
rated
Entry 99¢·56,631.8 shares
Invested
$56.2K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$443
+$443INV $56.2K · WR 87.7%
D
debased◆Proven
Entry 28¢·121,317.7 shares
Invested
$33.4K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$87930
+$87930INV $33.4K · WR 65.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 100¢·29,130.2 shares
Invested
$29.1K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $29.1K · WR 79.6%
N
NoLoyaltyToTheBosses
Entry 100¢·27,265.3 shares
Invested
$27.2K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $27.2K · WR 85.8%
P
paspor
Entry 99¢·21,230.2 shares
Invested
$21.1K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$168
+$168INV $21.1K · WR 85.8%
D
0xd32ce89f...◆Proven
Entry 99¢·17,414.9 shares
Invested
$17.3K
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
+$104
+$104INV $17.3K · WR 83.5%
Showing top 10 of 338
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