Politics169 days left
Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$6.0K
220 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 68 traders
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
36 MARKETS · $506.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+21¢$5.8K2/6Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+21¢4¢
$5.8K2/6
Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
6¢−6¢$4.2K0/5Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−6¢6¢
$4.2K0/5
Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢+18¢$11.3K2/8Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+18¢2¢
$11.3K2/8
Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢−3¢$3.3K0/2Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢
$3.3K0/2
Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢+18¢$6.0K2/8Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+18¢2¢
$6.0K2/8
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
22¢+23¢$239.7K13/16Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+23¢22¢
$239.7K13/16
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢−5¢$2.2K0/2Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢
$2.2K0/2
Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢+15¢$8.3K2/9Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+15¢3¢
$8.3K2/9
Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢−3¢$2.6K0/5Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢
$2.6K0/5
Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢+27¢$4.4K3/7Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+27¢3¢
$4.4K3/7
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
6¢+21¢$17.4K3/8Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+21¢6¢
$17.4K3/8
Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢−4¢$9.4K0/8Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−4¢4¢
$9.4K0/8
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
7¢+37¢$8.3K4/5Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+37¢7¢
$8.3K4/5
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢+17¢$2.8K2/8Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+17¢3¢
$2.8K2/8
Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢+48¢$3.4K1/1Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+48¢2¢
$3.4K1/1
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
46¢+9¢$29.6K17/14Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+9¢46¢
$29.6K17/14
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
7¢+26¢$24.9K7/14Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+26¢7¢
$24.9K7/14
Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+13¢$5.6K1/5Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+13¢4¢
$5.6K1/5
Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢+28¢$9811/2Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+28¢5¢
$9811/2
Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
4¢+21¢$7.3K1/3Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+21¢4¢
$7.3K1/3
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
88¢−15¢$28.5K16/6Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−15¢88¢
$28.5K16/6
Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢+65¢$5.5K2/1Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+65¢2¢
$5.5K2/1
Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
1¢−1¢$1.9K0/2Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−1¢1¢
$1.9K0/2
Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢−3¢$3.5K0/6Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢
$3.5K0/6
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢−3¢$2.1K0/4Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−3¢3¢
$2.1K0/4
Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢+48¢$6.2K2/2Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+48¢2¢
$6.2K2/2
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
10¢+32¢$14.2K5/7Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+32¢10¢
$14.2K5/7
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
3¢+22¢$6.9K1/3Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+22¢3¢
$6.9K1/3
Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
5¢−5¢$3.1K0/5Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−5¢5¢
$3.1K0/5
Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election←
3¢+27¢$6.0K3/7Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election←+27¢3¢
$6.0K3/7
Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
1¢+49¢$3.2K1/1Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+49¢1¢
$3.2K1/1
Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
12¢−12¢$1.6K0/4Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election−12¢12¢
$1.6K0/4
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
2¢+11¢$4.8K1/7Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+11¢2¢
$4.8K1/7
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election
34¢+10¢$13.0K7/9Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election+10¢34¢
$13.0K7/9
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Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs7 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $587 is directional: YES $0·NO $587YES Team
Total Invested
$250
Avg Win Rate
66.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$241(-96.1%)
Whales
3
H
Hot-Skull🥇hedged
Entry 97¢·183.4 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$178
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
$-172
$-172INV $178 · WR 70.4%
F
flovertaco🥈
Entry 44¢·156.9 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-64
$-64INV $68 · WR 56.9%
B
big-bird1🥉hedged
Entry 95¢·4.5 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 68.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$593
Avg Win Rate
68.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$158(+26.6%)
Whales
7
T
Tonnic🥇
Entry 95¢·277 shares
Invested
$264
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $264 · WR 66.7%
N
nicoco89🥈
Entry 97¢·218.1 shares
Invested
$212
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $212 · WR 62.6%
A
archaic🥉
Entry 97¢·100 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $97 · WR 86.7%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 92¢·13 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $12 · WR 67.8%
H
Hot-Skullhedged
Entry 4¢·158.8 shares·also $178 on YES
Invested
$6
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
+$148
+$148INV $6 · WR 70.4%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 99¢·1.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 55.5%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 3¢·4.5 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$0
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $0 · WR 68.6%
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