Politics1 days left
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$14.8K
493 trades
Smart Whales
40
of 176 traders
NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
8 MARKETS · $60.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs30 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 67% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 83%· net of hedges
+42 new YES$1.8K+45 new NO$6.8K
$996 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
8 smart whales23 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.2K is directional: YES $773·NO $378YES Team
Total Invested
$777
Avg Win Rate
69.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$667(-86.0%)
Whales
10
R
Ryxon21◆Proven🥇
Entry 34¢·1,161.8 shares
Invested
$391
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
$-353
$-353INV $391 · WR 73.8%
1
1walrus🥈
Entry 20¢·1,551.1 shares
Invested
$314
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
$-264
$-264INV $314 · WR 64.5%
T
TheOne777◆Proven🥉
Entry 35¢·72.1 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
76.4%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $25 · WR 76.4%
H
Honest-Surprise
Entry 6¢·201.1 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $13 · WR 69.7%
A
applepie3
Entry 5¢·200 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $10 · WR 60.4%
S
SnapElectionAvoider◆Proven
Entry 19¢·48.5 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $9 · WR 61.3%
S
StormRazer
Entry 30¢·17.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 60.6%
D
dranlintan
Entry 3¢·90 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 55.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 11¢·26.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 79.2%
S
stylishtrade
Entry 11¢·24.5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 67.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.3K
Avg Win Rate
73.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$707(+30.6%)
Whales
30
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 85¢·1,034.1 shares
Invested
$874
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$138
+$138INV $874 · WR 71.9%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich🥈
Entry 85¢·406.9 shares
Invested
$345
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $345 · WR 59.8%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 51¢·530 shares
Invested
$270
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$248
+$248INV $270 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 68¢·297.1 shares
Invested
$201
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $201 · WR 87.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 76¢·135.8 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $103 · WR 89.0%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 78¢·126.7 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $99 · WR 60.3%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 90¢·96.7 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $87 · WR 57.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 69¢·81.8 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $56 · WR 88.6%
A
anothercoin
Entry 58¢·83.8 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $49 · WR 83.8%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 85¢·40.7 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $34 · WR 60.4%
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