Politics25 days left
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$770
82 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 38 traders
NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
8 MARKETS · $21.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs5 NO
38%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 81% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5 is directional: YES $4·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$22
Avg Win Rate
65.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-7.3%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$19
Avg Win Rate
72.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$13(+66.3%)
Whales
5
C
coldhot🥇
Entry 43¢·18.9 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $8 · WR 72.6%
C
cloudyartifact🥈
Entry 81¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 79.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin🥉
Entry 95¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 66.8%
T
trrr12
Entry 72¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 62.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 12¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $0 · WR 89.3%
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