Politics25 days left
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$7.5K
201 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 67 traders
NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
8 MARKETS · $21.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs8 NO
11%89%
89% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2 is directional: YES $0·NO $2YES Team
Total Invested
$2
Avg Win Rate
70.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$10(+500.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
64.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$561(+48.9%)
Whales
8
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥇
Entry 64¢·1,699.9 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$539
+$539INV $1.1K · WR 63.6%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 94¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $24 · WR 79.6%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 94¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $19 · WR 87.7%
C
cloudyartifact
Entry 90¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 79.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 95¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 66.8%
T
trrr12
Entry 90¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 62.7%
C
coldhot
Entry 4¢·18.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $1 · WR 72.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 1¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $0 · WR 89.3%
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