Politics25 days left
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 15% or more?
YES Price
9¢
9% implied
NO Price
91¢
91% implied
Volume
$725
87 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 33 traders
NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
8 MARKETS · $21.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs4 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$4
Avg Win Rate
63.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$9(+225.9%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$27
Avg Win Rate
79.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$23(+84.4%)
Whales
4
C
coldhot🥇
Entry 64¢·18.9 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $12 · WR 72.6%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $10 · WR 89.3%
C
cloudyartifact🥉
Entry 81¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 79.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 1¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $0 · WR 66.8%
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