Politics25 days left
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?
YES Price
31¢
31% implied
NO Price
69¢
69% implied
Volume
$1.7K
138 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 56 traders
NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
8 MARKETS · $21.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs8 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 75% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 57%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$19+2 new NO$23
$10 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6 is directional: YES $5·NO $2YES Team
Total Invested
$5
Avg Win Rate
73.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$5(+115.0%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$35
Avg Win Rate
80.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$21(+60.4%)
Whales
8
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 50¢·25.3 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $13 · WR 79.6%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 88.7%
C
cloudyartifact🥉
Entry 93¢·6 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
79.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 79.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 45¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 66.8%
C
coldhot
Entry 11¢·18.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $2 · WR 72.6%
T
trrr12
Entry 69¢·1.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 62.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 30¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 89.3%
I
iamgleb
Entry 58¢·0.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 58.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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