Politics25 days left
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?
YES Price
32¢
32% implied
NO Price
68¢
68% implied
Volume
$3.4K
227 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 73 traders
NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
8 MARKETS · $21.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs7 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 22% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $8 is directional: YES $2·NO $7YES Team
Total Invested
$21
Avg Win Rate
64.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$15(+68.8%)
Whales
3
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥇
Entry 18¢·97.1 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $18 · WR 63.6%
H
Hugin-og-Munin🥈hedged
Entry 26¢·7 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 66.8%
T
TheOne777◆Proven🥉
Entry 18¢·10 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 75.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$36
Avg Win Rate
75.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-0.5%)
Whales
7
C
coldhot🥇
Entry 68¢·18.9 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $13 · WR 72.6%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 71¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 87.7%
C
cloudyartifact🥉
Entry 85¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 79.0%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 75¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 68.9%
H
Hugin-og-Muninhedged
Entry 49¢·5 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 66.8%
T
trrr12
Entry 75¢·2.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 62.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 89.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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