Politics25 days left
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%?
YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$1.1K
102 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 50 traders
NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
8 MARKETS · $21.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs6 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 89% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $9 is directional: YES $8·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$8
Avg Win Rate
75.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$19(+245.7%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$26
Avg Win Rate
80.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$44(+171.6%)
Whales
6
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 50¢·25.3 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $13 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 86.0%
T
trrr12🥉
Entry 94¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 62.7%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 9¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $1 · WR 66.8%
C
cloudyartifact
Entry 10¢·6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $1 · WR 79.0%
C
coldhot
Entry 3¢·18.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $1 · WR 72.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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