Politics1 days left
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?
YES Price
96¢
96% implied
NO Price
4¢
4% implied
Volume
$15.1K
403 trades
Smart Whales
44
of 174 traders · 1 on both sides
NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
8 MARKETS · $60.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs33 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 80%· net of hedges
+45 new YES$7.0K+71 new NO$2.6K
$2.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 21 buyers — left out of momentum
10 smart whales27 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$16 of $1.9K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.8K·NO $104YES Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
73.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$753(+41.1%)
Whales
12
R
Ryxon21◆Proven🥇
Entry 68¢·1,785.8 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
+$490
+$490INV $1.2K · WR 73.8%
W
whig◆Proven🥈
Entry 61¢·347.6 shares
Invested
$212
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$120
+$120INV $212 · WR 62.0%
A
Adrbar🥉
Entry 96¢·209.2 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $200 · WR 81.8%
V
vyemfql
Entry 97¢·99.6 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $97 · WR 71.2%
T
TheOne777◆Proven
Entry 26¢·169.3 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
76.4%
Position P&L
+$117
+$117INV $44 · WR 76.4%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 57¢·36 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $20 · WR 68.1%
T
TerranSupremacy
Entry 88¢·16.2 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $14 · WR 67.2%
S
StormRazerhedged
Entry 61¢·20 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $12 · WR 60.6%
B
BKno95◆Proven
Entry 90¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 73.4%
N
new-account-test222
Entry 92¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 67.1%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$578
Avg Win Rate
76.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$426(-73.7%)
Whales
33
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 24¢·512.4 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-104
$-104INV $123 · WR 88.5%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 21¢·530 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-93
$-93INV $113 · WR 86.1%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich🥉
Entry 14¢·594.9 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $83 · WR 59.8%
A
anothercoin
Entry 47¢·83.8 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $39 · WR 83.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $30 · WR 89.0%
L
Lustrous-Cyclooxygenase-Output
Entry 68¢·33.3 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $23 · WR 81.3%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 12¢·118.3 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $14 · WR 60.4%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 19¢·69 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $13 · WR 57.6%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 13¢·94.7 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $12 · WR 60.2%
S
stylishtrade
Entry 49¢·24.5 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $12 · WR 67.3%
Showing top 10 of 33
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 317ms