Politics757 days left
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$20.41M
57,951 trades
Smart Whales
283
of 11,529 traders · 2 on both sides
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
46 MARKETS · $682.85M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
109 YESvs176 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 89% YES by dollars · 33 YES vs 32 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$0+3 new NO$81
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$70 of $4.7K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $15 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4.1K·NO $515YES Team
Total Invested
$20.4K
Avg Win Rate
57.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$14.6K(-71.6%)
Whales
109
C
CryptoMancer🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·12,738.4 shares·also $140 on NO
Invested
$12.6K
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-12554
$-12554INV $12.6K · WR 55.7%
P
PropheticFire🥈
Entry 1¢·261,968.2 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-1541
$-1541INV $2.4K · WR 62.3%
B
Brokie🥉
Entry 0¢·304,000 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-133
$-133INV $1.2K · WR 59.4%
I
imhim
Entry 1¢·19,984.2 shares
Invested
$158
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $158 · WR 56.3%
B
basedciganyhedged
Entry 1¢·8,000 shares·also $7.9K on NO
Invested
$96
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $96 · WR 62.8%
P
PavtheGreat
Entry 1¢·10,300 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $74 · WR 62.6%
T
Threadbare-Signal
Entry 1¢·8,948.7 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $62 · WR 60.2%
A
0xa54e477f...both sides
Entry 50¢·70.3 shares·also $35 on NO
Invested
$35
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $35 · WR 63.4%
I
i2dt◆Proven
Entry 1¢·4,056.1 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $28 · WR 70.2%
G
GollumGekko◆Proven
Entry 1¢·4,042 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $27 · WR 75.9%
Showing top 10 of 109
NO Team
Total Invested
$25.4K
Avg Win Rate
70.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.08M(+4232.3%)
Whales
176
B
basedcigany🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·8,000 shares·also $96 on YES
Invested
$7.9K
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $7.9K · WR 62.8%
T
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA🥈
Entry 1¢·440,710.8 shares
Invested
$3.8K
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$435361
+$435361INV $3.8K · WR 88.7%
J
J-E-R🥉
Entry 1¢·121,130 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$119522
+$119522INV $1.2K · WR 58.8%
P
petanimal
Entry 1¢·125,981.1 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$124427
+$124427INV $1.1K · WR 80.8%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven
Entry 1¢·50,000 shares
Invested
$450
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$49375
+$49375INV $450 · WR 63.4%
I
iamrektomg
Entry 1¢·45,880.7 shares
Invested
$321
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$45399
+$45399INV $321 · WR 74.6%
7
7G-MAN
Entry 1¢·22,924 shares
Invested
$271
Win Rate
92.5%
Position P&L
+$22572
+$22572INV $271 · WR 92.5%
B
bernardbulletin◆Proven
Entry 0¢·142,644.6 shares
Invested
$195
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$141950
+$141950INV $195 · WR 69.3%
D
dodged-a-bullet
Entry 1¢·14,500 shares
Invested
$176
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$14274
+$14274INV $176 · WR 58.3%
C
CoffeeLover
Entry 1¢·16,777 shares
Invested
$165
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$16553
+$16553INV $165 · WR 67.1%
Showing top 10 of 176
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